The potential opened by this agreement is considerable and deserves to be measured with concrete figures. According to the Ministry of Agrarian Development and Irrigation (Midagri), Hong Kong imports $20.948 billion in agricultural goods from the world and exports only $9.788 billion, a sectoral deficit of $11.160 billion that reveals an unsatisfied demand of remarkable proportions.
Peru, which in its best year placed $275 million in fruits and vegetables, has before it a potential segment exceeding $7 billion: blueberries, grapes, avocados, citrus fruits, mangoes, asparagus, and frozen fruits concentrate the most immediate opportunities.
While sauces, baked goods, and processed chocolates open a second wave of untapped growth.
Capitalizing on this open door, however, requires looking beyond the legal text, in addition to taking advantage of market opportunities.
Blueberries, avocados, and grapes accounted for 93% of the exported value in 2025, and the 62% drop recorded that year, followed by another 50% drop in the first half of 2026, exposed how much the trade balance depends on just three harvests.
Behind this volatility operates a factor that no tariff chapter negotiates: physical climate risk.
Droughts, unseasonal frosts, early blooms, and water stress alter calibers, harvest windows, and exportable volumes before any commercial preference comes into play.
This agronomic uncertainty precisely erodes the predictability of income that the treaty seeks to offer.